The best book ever written about real estate cycles is in our view Phillip J Anderson's book The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking (see below)

Phillip Anderson has collected evidence that he says proves the United States housing  market moves in 18-year cycles. Approx 14 years up, then around 4 years down. And that Australia follows a very similar, but not identical, pattern. Decades of study of the stock market and land cycles have been documented in his book.

We thought it would be interesting to our clients to apply this 18 year cycle trend to the Australian cities to help our clients determine the best time to invest in Australian real estate.

We have applied the 18 year real estate cycle theory (around 14 years up, 4 years down) plus data from Residex and BIS Shrapnel to the Australian cities on other pages in this website.
Some background on the research below, BUT first, it is important to know that OVER THE LONG  term, through all historical, climate and economic events, Australian house prices have seen continual and steady growth.

You can see a time line graph here to understand this.

Then you should read the below BEFORE looking at individual cities.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phillip J Anderson is an independent academic and Author. A student of history. A vast collector and collator of economic data.

Essentially: Anderson has collected evidence that he says proves the United States housing  market moves in approx an 18-year cycles. 14 years up, 4 years down. And that Australia follows a very similar, but not identical, pattern.

This prediction is based on a repeating cycle of land values and stock prices that has been proven right — since 1784.

"For the rent collectors, this is a profitable system, not open to question.

Now,  as China, India, Russia and Brazil, amongst other nations,

industrialize and open up their economies more and more to the

cabal of Western banking empires and the private collection of their

nations’ economic rent, this system of boom/bust can only become global,

bigger and even more violent.

"Gann’s methods in referencing these time frames have produced quite accurate forecasts in the past;

the cause is still with us so there is every reason to think this will repeat.Phillip Anderson

"The cycle occurs between 15 to 20 years from peak to peak and trough to trough, averaging 18.6 years"


For a more detailed study yourself, we suggest you purchase

Anderson's  book

“The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking” from Amazon.com